MLB

Brewers vs. Braves MLB Betting: Freddy Peralta to deliver a quality start

Friday, August 10 at 7:35 PM ET

SunTrust Park

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The Milwaukee Brewers open a three-game series with the Atlanta Braves. Freddy Peralta takes the hill for the Brewers while Kevin Gausman will make his first start at SunTrust Park.

 

Peralta throws six solid innings against the Rockies
(5-2, 3.54 ERA, 1.03 WHIP) gave up two earned runs on two hits (two home runs) and two walks with eight strikeouts across six innings in an 8-4 win against the Rockies last Saturday. Peralta has a 3.49 ERA in six road starts and the current Braves roster is hitting .158 against him.

have scored 521 runs (15th in the majors), putting up 4.42 runs per game (19th), hitting .248 (15th) with 151 home runs (8th). Milwaukee ranks 11th with a 3.84 ERA, 12th with a 1.27 WHIP and 7th with 1026 strikeouts. Their bullpen ranks 11th with a 3.75 ERA. Jesus Aguilar leads the Brewers with 28 home runs and 82 RBI, Travis Shaw has 23 home runs and 68 RBI and Christian Yelich has 18 home runs, 60 RBI and team-bests with a .319 batting average and 128 hits.

 

Gausman makes first home start for the Braves
(5-9, 4.47 ERA, 1.39 WHIP) allowed three earned runs on six hits and two walks with two strikeouts across five innings in a 3-0 loss against the Mets last Saturday. Gausman generated only five swinging strikes, so he wasn't fooling many betters but his start was successful form a run prevention standpoint, as he didn't surrender a home run for the first time in his last seven outings

have scored 533 runs (10th in the majors), putting up 4.76 runs per game (7th), hitting .259 (3rd) with 125 home runs (18th). Atlanta ranks 13th with a 3.86 ERA, 13th with a 1.29 WHIP and 13th with 991 strikeouts. Their bullpen ranks 19th with a 4.19 ERA. Ozzie Albies has 20 home runs and 59 RBI and Freddie Freeman has 18 home runs and team-bests with 70 RBI and a .398 OBP.

MLB Trends:

The Milwaukee Brewers are:

6-2 in their last eight games following a loss

38-16 in their last 54 after allowing five runs or more in their previous game

4-0 in Peralta's last four starts against a team with a winning record

7-3 in Peralta's last 10 starts

4-1 in the last five meetings

The Atlanta Braves are:

5-12 in their last 17 games against a team with a winning record

2-5 in their last seven home games against a team with a winning record

3-8 in their last 11 when their opponent allows five runs or more in their previous game

4-12 in their last 16 Friday games

Freddy Peralta has given up three or fewer runs in seven of his last eight starts and he already limited the to one earned run in six innings in a 5-4 win on July 6 while Kevin Gausman has not been reliable, surrendering a combined 30 hits in his last 21 2/3 innings pitched.

MLB Pick: Brewers -105 at Jazz Sportsbook

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Odds as seen on ESPN Chalk:

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